Record numbers of armed conflicts
61 state-based armed conflicts were active in 2024 — the most since records began in 1946 — and 11 reached the level of war.
How this affects people
Conflicts kill directly, but also destroy health systems, farms and schools, driving hunger, disease and displacement for years.
Nearly 160,000 people died in organised violence in 2024, according to the Uppsala Conflict Data Program.
Look at what keeps the problem going
- 01Competition over power and resources
- 02Weak or contested states
- 03Foreign intervention
- 04Climate stress on livelihoods
What could happen next
The future leaves room for choices. Compare the outlooks, check what supports them and notice where the evidence becomes less certain
Conflict count stays high
No sign of a quick reversal in the number of conflicts.
The future is not a timetable. These summaries reflect published scenarios and trends, with deeper uncertainty at longer horizons. Choices made now matter.
Where could a useful response begin?
Begin with a question you can investigate. Compare the sources and follow related briefings to see how the problem connects to other lives and places. This prototype does not accept proposals yet.
This preview does not accept proposals or create an account.